Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.705959 0.900158 1.118028 1.377825 1.676455 2.006371 2.395765
2025-08-24 0.464000 0.715626 1.032505 1.448247 1.966880 2.580789 3.350401
2025-08-31 0.290916 0.552471 0.923398 1.455594 2.168362 3.060888 4.233219
2025-09-07 0.202194 0.469837 0.892689 1.546401 2.471880 3.680237 5.321194
2025-09-14 0.136327 0.394500 0.849767 1.604747 2.727662 4.247071 6.368148
2025-09-21 0.087594 0.325214 0.795703 1.631163 2.931866 4.748819 7.346843
2025-09-28 0.050199 0.255108 0.718700 1.603834 3.046771 5.125906 8.167351
2025-10-05 0.030525 0.213670 0.682133 1.633399 3.243045 5.619603 9.157614
2025-10-12 0.016999 0.175962 0.640656 1.644744 3.406092 6.066955 10.092938
2025-10-19 0.007220 0.134210 0.574290 1.597000 3.464878 6.358098 10.812264
2025-10-26 0.002514 0.102801 0.519902 1.560949 3.535473 6.664276 11.556468
2025-11-02 0.000789 0.083913 0.491691 1.572134 3.684430 7.091797 12.483809
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.061152 0.440009 1.525978 3.731820 7.369200 13.209643
2025-11-16 0.000002 0.054058 0.439724 1.595511 3.992615 7.992103 14.463537
2025-11-23 NaN 0.042343 0.413922 1.600365 4.132867 8.426219 15.445319
2025-11-30 NaN 0.039320 0.424586 1.695675 4.448365 9.152029 16.881079
2025-12-07 NaN 0.034223 0.422135 1.757018 4.700995 9.781329 18.181984
2025-12-14 NaN 0.027824 0.407753 1.784724 4.888597 10.307703 19.334993
2025-12-21 NaN 0.019802 0.374534 1.755442 4.960269 10.641965 20.198054
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015910 0.363843 1.786797 5.154259 11.184817 21.391497
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012067 0.347612 1.798812 5.307865 11.661440 22.488039
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007450 0.312982 1.747992 5.326186 11.905719 23.223709
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004456 0.284537 1.709606 5.366584 12.186923 24.020213